The edge goes to the Celtics at home against the Nuggets on Tuesday, February 9, at about 66%. That is a real edge, but the Nuggets are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Celtics 66%, with a projected score of Denver Nuggets 113, Boston Celtics 117. The rating gap is 19 points in favor of the Celtics, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Celtics on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 34 times in 100 games like this, the Nuggets would win.
Recent form
The Nuggets are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -4.4. The Celtics are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4.
The Nuggets were beaten 112-96 on the road by MIN not long ago.
The Celtics were beaten 113-97 at home by PHI not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Julian Strawther (DEN), expected back Nov 29, 2026 and Devin Carter (BOS), expected back Nov 8, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Spencer Jones (DEN), Cameron Johnson (DEN), and Alpha Diallo (DEN). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Nuggets outscoring the Celtics by an average of 1 points per game. The last meeting was BOS 84, DEN 103.