Game preview · Tue 5:00 PM MT

Toronto Raptors at Cleveland Cavaliers: preview and Win Meter

Toronto Raptors → Cleveland Cavaliers →

The Win Meter favors the Cavaliers at home against the Raptors on Tuesday, February 9, at about 66%. That is a real edge, but the Raptors are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Cavaliers 66%, with a projected score of Toronto Raptors 113, Cleveland Cavaliers 117. The rating gap is 17 points in favor of the Cavaliers, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Cavaliers on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 34 times in 100 games like this, the Raptors would win.

Recent form

The Raptors are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +7.6. The Cavaliers are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14.

The Raptors' best recent win was 135-92 at home against CHI.

The Cavaliers were beaten 130-93 at home by NYK not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Nate Bittle (TOR), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Malachi Smith (TOR), Khalifa Diop (CLE), Nae'Qwan Tomlin (CLE), and Ernest Udeh, Jr. (CLE).

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Cavaliers lead 8-6, with the Cavaliers outscoring the Raptors by an average of 3.6 points per game. The last meeting was TOR 102, CLE 114.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Raptors3-2, +7.6 avg margin
Cavaliers1-4, -14 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The Raptors arrive in better form (L-W-L-W-W against L-L-L-L-W).
  • Health: 5 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Cavaliers.

Recent meetings

  • May 3: TOR 102, CLE 114 (playoffs)
  • May 1: CLE 110, TOR 112 (playoffs)
  • Apr 29: TOR 120, CLE 125 (playoffs)
  • Apr 26: CLE 89, TOR 93 (playoffs)
  • Apr 23: CLE 104, TOR 126 (playoffs)

Injury report

Toronto Raptors
  • Nate Bittle Out · back Oct 28
  • Malachi Smith Out
Cleveland Cavaliers
  • Khalifa Diop Out
  • Nae'Qwan Tomlin Out
  • Ernest Udeh, Jr. Out

Win Meter

34%
66%
RaptorsCavaliers

Projected score: Raptors 113, Cavaliers 117

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

34%
66%
RaptorsCavaliers

Matchup at a glance

TORCLE
Record2-01-1
Last 5LWLWWLLLLW
Points per game123.5115.5
Allowed per game97117.5
Days of rest––
Rating15571574

More