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Los Angeles Lakers at Phoenix Suns: preview and Win Meter

Los Angeles Lakers → Phoenix Suns →

Los Angeles Lakers at Phoenix Suns on Monday, February 8 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Suns at only 55%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.

Why it is so close

The Win Meter reads the Suns 55%, with a projected score of Los Angeles Lakers 115, Phoenix Suns 116. The rating gap is 68 points in favor of the Lakers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Suns on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 45 times in 100 games like this, the Lakers would win.

Recent form

The Lakers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.2. The Suns are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -13.2.

The Lakers' best recent win was 127-105 at home against GSW.

The Lakers were beaten 131-108 at home by OKC not long ago.

The Suns were beaten 124-83 on the road by POR not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Cameron Carr (LAL), expected back Oct 27, 2026, Adou Thiero (LAL), expected back Oct 27, 2026, and Mark Williams (PHX), expected back Feb 3, 2027.

Day to day or questionable: Walker Kessler (LAL) and Oso Ighodaro (PHX). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Suns lead 5-4, with the Suns outscoring the Lakers by an average of 3 points per game. The last meeting was PHX 73, LAL 101.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Lakers2-3, -3.2 avg margin
Suns1-4, -13.2 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 3 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Suns.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 10: PHX 73, LAL 101
  • Feb 26: LAL 110, PHX 113
  • Dec 23: LAL 108, PHX 132
  • Dec 14: LAL 116, PHX 114
  • Dec 1: PHX 125, LAL 108

Injury report

Los Angeles Lakers
  • Cameron Carr Out · back Oct 27
  • Adou Thiero Out · back Oct 27
  • Walker Kessler Available
Phoenix Suns
  • Mark Williams Out · back Feb 3
  • Oso Ighodaro Day to day · back Oct 26

Win Meter

45%
55%
LakersSuns

Projected score: Lakers 115, Suns 116

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

45%
55%
LakersSuns

Matchup at a glance

LALPHX
Record2-01-1
Last 5LLLWWLLLLW
Points per game126107
Allowed per game111123
Days of rest––
Rating15781510

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