Game preview · Mon 6:00 PM MT

Orlando Magic at Milwaukee Bucks: preview and Win Meter

Orlando Magic → Milwaukee Bucks →

The edge goes to the Magic on the road against the Bucks on Monday, February 8, at about 59%. That is a real edge, but the Bucks are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Magic 59%, with a projected score of Orlando Magic 116, Milwaukee Bucks 114. The rating gap is 161 points in favor of the Magic, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Bucks on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 41 times in 100 games like this, the Bucks would win.

Recent form

The Magic are 0-2 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14.4. The Bucks are 0-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -6.6.

The Magic were beaten 115-93 at home by MIN not long ago.

The Bucks' best recent win was 125-108 at home against BKN.

The Bucks were beaten 126-106 on the road by PHI not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Jonathan Isaac (ORL), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Izaiyah Nelson (ORL), expected back Nov 18, 2026, Noah Penda (ORL), expected back Nov 18, 2026, and Paolo Banchero (ORL), expected back Nov 22, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Anthony Black (ORL). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Bucks lead 4-3, with the Magic outscoring the Bucks by an average of 2.1 points per game. The last meeting was ORL 130, MIL 91.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Magic0-5, -14.4 avg margin
Bucks1-4, -6.6 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 4 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Bucks.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 8: ORL 130, MIL 91
  • Feb 11: MIL 116, ORL 108
  • Feb 9: MIL 99, ORL 118
  • Mar 8: ORL 111, MIL 109
  • Jan 15: ORL 93, MIL 122

Injury report

Orlando Magic
  • Anthony Black Questionable · back Oct 25
  • Jonathan Isaac Out · back Oct 28
  • Izaiyah Nelson Out · back Nov 18
  • Noah Penda Out · back Nov 18
  • Paolo Banchero Out · back Nov 22
Milwaukee Bucks

No reported injuries.

Win Meter

59%
41%
MagicBucks

Projected score: Magic 116, Bucks 114

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

59%
41%
MagicBucks

Matchup at a glance

ORLMIL
Record0-20-3
Last 5LLLLLWLLLL
Points per game109119
Allowed per game123.5129
Days of rest––
Rating15171356

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