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New Orleans Pelicans at Indiana Pacers: preview and Win Meter

New Orleans Pelicans → Indiana Pacers →

The edge goes to the Pacers at home against the Pelicans on Monday, February 8, at about 58%. That is a real edge, but the Pelicans are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Pacers 58%, with a projected score of New Orleans Pelicans 114, Indiana Pacers 116. The rating gap is 43 points in favor of the Pelicans, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Pacers on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 42 times in 100 games like this, the Pelicans would win.

Recent form

The Pelicans are 0-3 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4. The Pacers are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.4.

The Pelicans were beaten 144-118 on the road by BOS not long ago.

The Pacers' best recent win was 123-94 on the road against BKN.

The Pacers were beaten 121-105 at home by DAL not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Yves Missi (NOP), expected back Nov 2, 2026, T.J. McConnell (IND), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Johnny Furphy (IND), expected back Jan 2, 2027, and Ben Sheppard (IND), expected back Dec 1, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Kobe Brown (IND) and Aaron Nesmith (IND). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Pacers lead 4-2, with the Pacers outscoring the Pelicans by an average of 0.7 points per game. The last meeting was IND 123, NOP 120.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Pelicans0-5, -8.4 avg margin
Pacers2-3, -1.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The Pacers arrive in better form (W-L-L-W-L against L-L-L-L-L).
  • Health: 4 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Pacers.

Recent meetings

  • Oct 21: IND 123, NOP 120
  • Jan 16: NOP 119, IND 127
  • Dec 20: IND 109, NOP 128
  • Dec 15: NOP 104, IND 119
  • Nov 25: NOP 110, IND 114

Injury report

New Orleans Pelicans
  • Yves Missi Out · back Nov 2
Indiana Pacers
  • T.J. McConnell Out · back Oct 26
  • Johnny Furphy Out · back Jan 2
  • Ben Sheppard Out · back Dec 1
  • Kobe Brown Probable
  • Aaron Nesmith Probable · back Oct 25

Win Meter

42%
58%
PelicansPacers

Projected score: Pelicans 114, Pacers 116

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

42%
58%
PelicansPacers

Matchup at a glance

NOPIND
Record0-31-1
Last 5LLLLLWLLWL
Points per game124.7114
Allowed per game128120.5
Days of rest––
Rating14081365

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