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Houston Rockets at Sacramento Kings: preview and Win Meter

Houston Rockets → Sacramento Kings →

Recent form is the story in Houston Rockets at Sacramento Kings on Sunday, February 7. The Rockets have won 4 of their last 5, while the Kings have won 1.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Rockets 69%, with a projected score of Houston Rockets 118, Sacramento Kings 113. The rating gap is 241 points in favor of the Rockets, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Kings on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 31 times in 100 games like this, the Kings would win.

The recent-form gap

The Rockets are 3-0 this season and 4-1 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +3. The Kings are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.8.

The Rockets' best recent win was 128-110 at home against DAL.

The Rockets were beaten 98-78 at home by LAL not long ago.

The Kings were beaten 121-96 on the road by LAC not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Dylan Cardwell (SAC), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Maxime Raynaud (SAC), expected back Nov 2, 2026, and Ben Simmons (SAC), expected back Oct 1, 2027.

Day to day or questionable: Fred VanVleet (HOU), Steven Adams (HOU), Marcus Smart (HOU), and Keegan Murray (SAC). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Kings lead 5-2, with the Rockets outscoring the Kings by an average of 2.7 points per game. The last meeting was SAC 97, HOU 128.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Rockets4-1, +3 avg margin
Kings1-4, -8.8 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The Rockets arrive in better form (W-L-W-W-W against L-W-L-L-L).
  • Health: 3 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Kings.

Recent meetings

  • Feb 25: SAC 97, HOU 128
  • Jan 11: HOU 98, SAC 111
  • Dec 21: HOU 124, SAC 125
  • Dec 3: SAC 95, HOU 121
  • Mar 1: SAC 113, HOU 103

Injury report

Houston Rockets
  • Fred VanVleet Day to day · back Oct 26
  • Steven Adams Day to day · back Oct 26
  • Marcus Smart Day to day · back Oct 26
Sacramento Kings
  • Dylan Cardwell Out · back Nov 2
  • Maxime Raynaud Out · back Nov 2
  • Ben Simmons Out · back Oct 1
  • Keegan Murray Questionable · back Oct 25

Win Meter

69%
31%
RocketsKings

Projected score: Rockets 118, Kings 113

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

69%
31%
RocketsKings

Matchup at a glance

HOUSAC
Record3-00-2
Last 5WLWWWLWLLL
Points per game121108
Allowed per game111.3124.5
Days of rest––
Rating15961355

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