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Boston Celtics at Philadelphia 76ers: preview and Win Meter

Boston Celtics → Philadelphia 76ers →

Boston Celtics at Philadelphia 76ers on Sunday, February 7 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the 76ers at only 57%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.

Why it is so close

The Win Meter reads the 76ers 57%, with a projected score of Boston Celtics 114, Philadelphia 76ers 116. The rating gap is 49 points in favor of the Celtics, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the 76ers on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 43 times in 100 games like this, the Celtics would win.

Recent form

The Celtics are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4. The 76ers are 3-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.8.

The Celtics were beaten 113-97 at home by PHI not long ago.

The 76ers were beaten 144-114 at home by NYK not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Devin Carter (BOS), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Dominick Barlow (PHI), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Ariel Hukporti (PHI), expected back Oct 1, 2027, and Tacko Fall (PHI), expected back Oct 25, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: LeBron James (PHI) and Jabari Walker (PHI). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Celtics lead 8-7, with the Celtics outscoring the 76ers by an average of 5.1 points per game. The last meeting was PHI 109, BOS 100.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Celtics1-4, -8.4 avg margin
76ers3-2, -3.8 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The 76ers arrive in better form (L-L-W-W-W against L-L-L-L-W).
  • Health: 4 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the 76ers.

Recent meetings

  • May 2: PHI 109, BOS 100 (playoffs)
  • Apr 30: BOS 93, PHI 106 (playoffs)
  • Apr 28: PHI 113, BOS 97 (playoffs)
  • Apr 26: BOS 128, PHI 96 (playoffs)
  • Apr 24: BOS 108, PHI 100 (playoffs)

Injury report

Boston Celtics
  • Devin Carter Out · back Nov 8
Philadelphia 76ers
  • Dominick Barlow Out · back Nov 2
  • Ariel Hukporti Out · back Oct 1
  • Tacko Fall Out · back Oct 25
  • LeBron James Day to day · back Oct 25
  • Jabari Walker Day to day · back Oct 25

Win Meter

43%
57%
Celtics76ers

Projected score: Celtics 114, 76ers 116

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

43%
57%
Celtics76ers

Matchup at a glance

BOSPHI
Record1-13-0
Last 5LLLLWLLWWW
Points per game110115.7
Allowed per game112107.3
Days of rest––
Rating16091560

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