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Charlotte Hornets at Toronto Raptors: preview and Win Meter

Charlotte Hornets → Toronto Raptors →

The edge goes to the Raptors at home against the Hornets on Sunday, February 7, at about 64%. That is a real edge, but the Hornets are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Raptors 64%, with a projected score of Charlotte Hornets 113, Toronto Raptors 117. The two teams are rated almost level, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Raptors on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 36 times in 100 games like this, the Hornets would win.

Recent form

The Hornets are 2-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -13. The Raptors are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +7.6.

The Hornets were beaten 128-81 at home by ATL not long ago.

The Raptors' best recent win was 135-92 at home against CHI.

Injuries to watch

Out: Kylan Boswell (CHA), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Coby White (CHA), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Kon Knueppel (CHA), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Grant Williams (CHA), expected back Oct 30, 2026, and Nate Bittle (TOR), expected back Oct 28, 2026.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Raptors lead 4-3, with the Raptors outscoring the Hornets by an average of 1 points per game. The last meeting was TOR 97, CHA 96.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Hornets3-2, -13 avg margin
Raptors3-2, +7.6 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 6 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Raptors.

Recent meetings

  • Jan 7: TOR 97, CHA 96
  • Dec 5: CHA 111, TOR 86
  • Nov 29: TOR 111, CHA 118
  • Nov 17: CHA 108, TOR 110
  • Apr 9: CHA 96, TOR 126

Injury report

Charlotte Hornets
  • Kylan Boswell Out · back Nov 2
  • Coby White Out · back Oct 26
  • Kon Knueppel Out · back Oct 26
  • Grant Williams Out · back Oct 30
Toronto Raptors
  • Nate Bittle Out · back Oct 28
  • Malachi Smith Out

Win Meter

36%
64%
HornetsRaptors

Projected score: Hornets 113, Raptors 117

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

36%
64%
HornetsRaptors

Matchup at a glance

CHATOR
Record2-12-0
Last 5WLWLWLWLWW
Points per game102123.5
Allowed per game113.797
Days of rest––
Rating15561557

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