LA Clippers at Dallas Mavericks on Sunday, February 7 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Clippers at only 54%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.
Why it is so close
The Win Meter reads the Clippers 54%, with a projected score of LA Clippers 116, Dallas Mavericks 115. The rating gap is 125 points in favor of the Clippers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Mavericks on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 46 times in 100 games like this, the Mavericks would win.
Recent form
The Clippers are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -0.4. The Mavericks are 1-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.2.
The Clippers' best recent win was 121-96 at home against SAC.
The Clippers were beaten 116-97 on the road by POR not long ago.
The Mavericks' best recent win was 149-128 at home against CHI.
The Mavericks were beaten 139-120 on the road by SAS not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Bradley Beal (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Max Strus (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Yanic Konan Niederhauser (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Brandon Ingram (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, and Jordan Miller (LAC), expected back Mar 2, 2027.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Clippers lead 6-2, with the Clippers outscoring the Mavericks by an average of 10.4 points per game. The last meeting was DAL 103, LAC 116.