Utah Jazz at Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday, February 7 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Timberwolves about a 90% chance, and the Jazz would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Timberwolves 90%, with a projected score of Utah Jazz 108, Minnesota Timberwolves 122. The rating gap is 275 points in favor of the Timberwolves, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Timberwolves on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 10 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Jazz are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.2. The Timberwolves are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.4.
The Jazz's best recent win was 147-101 at home against MEM.
The Jazz were beaten 131-107 on the road by LAL not long ago.
The Timberwolves' best recent win was 131-106 on the road against MIA.
The Timberwolves were beaten 139-109 at home by SAS not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Jusuf Nurkic (UTA), expected back Nov 4, 2026, Trey Alexander (UTA), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Harrison Ingram (UTA), and Donte DiVincenzo (MIN), expected back Apr 2, 2027.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Timberwolves lead 6-2, with the Timberwolves outscoring the Jazz by an average of 17.4 points per game. The last meeting was UTA 111, MIN 147.