Golden State Warriors at Detroit Pistons on Sunday, February 7 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Pistons about a 86% chance, and the Warriors would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Pistons 86%, with a projected score of Golden State Warriors 110, Detroit Pistons 121. The rating gap is 209 points in favor of the Pistons, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Pistons on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 7 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Warriors are 0-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.8. The Pistons are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +2.2.
The Warriors were beaten 127-105 on the road by LAL not long ago.
The Pistons' best recent win was 115-94 on the road against CLE.
The Pistons were beaten 125-94 at home by CLE not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Kristaps Porzingis (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, Jimmy Butler (GSW), expected back Jan 2, 2027, Moses Moody (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, Jalen Duren (DET), expected back Nov 9, 2026, and Ugonna Onyenso (DET).
Day to day or questionable: Brandin Podziemski (GSW), Stephen Curry (GSW), Ausar Thompson (DET), and Elijah Harkless (DET). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Pistons outscoring the Warriors by an average of 3.3 points per game. The last meeting was GSW 101, DET 115.