Our ratings lean toward the Hawks at home against the Nuggets on Sunday, February 7, at about 63%. That is a real edge, but the Nuggets are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Hawks 63%, with a projected score of Denver Nuggets 113, Atlanta Hawks 117. The rating gap is 10 points in favor of the Nuggets, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Hawks on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 37 times in 100 games like this, the Nuggets would win.
Recent form
The Nuggets are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -4.4. The Hawks are 2-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -6.6.
The Nuggets were beaten 112-96 on the road by MIN not long ago.
The Hawks' best recent win was 128-81 on the road against CHA.
The Hawks were beaten 140-89 at home by NYK not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Julian Strawther (DEN), expected back Nov 29, 2026, Henri Veesaar (ATL), expected back Jul 1, 2027, and Mouhamed Gueye (ATL), expected back Nov 20, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Spencer Jones (DEN), Cameron Johnson (DEN), and Alpha Diallo (DEN). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Nuggets lead 3-1, with the Nuggets outscoring the Hawks by an average of 6.7 points per game. The last meeting was ATL 110, DEN 87.