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Phoenix Suns at Sacramento Kings: preview and Win Meter

Phoenix Suns → Sacramento Kings →

The edge goes to the Suns on the road against the Kings on Saturday, February 6, at about 58%. That is a real edge, but the Kings are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Suns 58%, with a projected score of Phoenix Suns 116, Sacramento Kings 114. The rating gap is 155 points in favor of the Suns, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Kings on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 42 times in 100 games like this, the Kings would win.

Recent form

The Suns are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -13.2. The Kings are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.8.

The Suns were beaten 124-83 on the road by POR not long ago.

The Kings were beaten 121-96 on the road by LAC not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Mark Williams (PHX), expected back Feb 3, 2027, Dylan Cardwell (SAC), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Maxime Raynaud (SAC), expected back Nov 2, 2026, and Ben Simmons (SAC), expected back Oct 1, 2027.

Day to day or questionable: Oso Ighodaro (PHX) and Keegan Murray (SAC). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Suns lead 5-3, with the Suns outscoring the Kings by an average of 3.4 points per game. The last meeting was PHX 114, SAC 103.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Suns1-4, -13.2 avg margin
Kings1-4, -8.8 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 4 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Kings.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 3: PHX 114, SAC 103
  • Jan 2: SAC 102, PHX 129
  • Nov 26: PHX 112, SAC 100
  • Oct 22: SAC 116, PHX 120
  • Apr 13: PHX 98, SAC 109

Injury report

Phoenix Suns
  • Mark Williams Out · back Feb 3
  • Oso Ighodaro Day to day · back Oct 26
Sacramento Kings
  • Dylan Cardwell Out · back Nov 2
  • Maxime Raynaud Out · back Nov 2
  • Ben Simmons Out · back Oct 1
  • Keegan Murray Questionable · back Oct 25

Win Meter

58%
42%
SunsKings

Projected score: Suns 116, Kings 114

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

58%
42%
SunsKings

Matchup at a glance

PHXSAC
Record1-10-2
Last 5LLLLWLWLLL
Points per game107108
Allowed per game123124.5
Days of rest––
Rating15101355

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