Los Angeles Lakers at San Antonio Spurs on Saturday, February 6 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Spurs about a 76% chance, and the Lakers would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Spurs 76%, with a projected score of Los Angeles Lakers 111, San Antonio Spurs 119. The rating gap is 103 points in favor of the Spurs, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Spurs on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Lakers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.2. The Spurs are 1-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.
The Lakers' best recent win was 127-105 at home against GSW.
The Lakers were beaten 131-108 at home by OKC not long ago.
The Spurs' best recent win was 122-106 on the road against DAL.
Injuries to watch
Out: Cameron Carr (LAL), expected back Oct 27, 2026, Adou Thiero (LAL), expected back Oct 27, 2026, Jayden Quaintance (SAS), expected back Dec 3, 2026, and Tobias Harris (SAS), expected back Oct 27, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Walker Kessler (LAL). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Spurs outscoring the Lakers by an average of 5 points per game. The last meeting was SAS 136, LAL 108.