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New Orleans Pelicans at Chicago Bulls: preview and Win Meter

New Orleans Pelicans → Chicago Bulls →

The Win Meter favors the Bulls at home against the Pelicans on Saturday, February 6, at about 59%. That is a real edge, but the Pelicans are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Bulls 59%, with a projected score of New Orleans Pelicans 114, Chicago Bulls 116. The rating gap is 37 points in favor of the Pelicans, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Bulls on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 41 times in 100 games like this, the Pelicans would win.

Recent form

The Pelicans are 0-3 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4. The Bulls are 1-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -17.

The Pelicans were beaten 144-118 on the road by BOS not long ago.

The Bulls were beaten 135-92 on the road by TOR not long ago.

Offense against defense

The Pelicans score 124.7 a game and allow 128. The Bulls score 114.7 and allow 128. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 126.4 for the Pelicans and 121.4 for the Bulls, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.

The Pelicans have defended better than the Bulls have scored, so the Bulls may need to find offense elsewhere.

Injuries to watch

Out: Yves Missi (NOP), expected back Nov 2, 2026 and Nicolas Claxton (CHI), expected back Nov 4, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Noa Essengue (CHI) and Patrick Williams (CHI). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Pelicans lead 4-1, with the Pelicans outscoring the Bulls by an average of 5 points per game. The last meeting was NOP 118, CHI 134.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Pelicans0-5, -8.4 avg margin
Bulls1-4, -17 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Offense against defense

Scoring per game. Matchup math pairs each offense with the other team's defense.

Points scored
124.7
114.7
Points allowed
128
128
Matchup math
126.4
121.4
■ Pelicans■ Bulls

Keys to the game

  • Scoring math favors the Pelicans: about 126.4 points expected against 121.4.
  • Health: 2 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Bulls.

Recent meetings

  • Dec 31: NOP 118, CHI 134
  • Dec 14: NOP 114, CHI 104
  • Nov 24: CHI 130, NOP 143
  • Jan 14: NOP 119, CHI 113
  • Oct 23: CHI 111, NOP 123

Injury report

New Orleans Pelicans
  • Yves Missi Out · back Nov 2
Chicago Bulls
  • Nicolas Claxton Out · back Nov 4
  • Noa Essengue Day to day · back Oct 26
  • Patrick Williams Day to day · back Oct 26

Win Meter

41%
59%
PelicansBulls

Projected score: Pelicans 114, Bulls 116

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

41%
59%
PelicansBulls

Matchup at a glance

NOPCHI
Record0-31-2
Last 5LLLLLLLLWL
Points per game124.7114.7
Allowed per game128128
Days of rest––
Rating14081371

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