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Portland Trail Blazers at Memphis Grizzlies: preview and Win Meter

Portland Trail Blazers → Memphis Grizzlies →

Our ratings lean toward the Trail Blazers on the road against the Grizzlies on Saturday, February 6, at about 63%. That is a real edge, but the Grizzlies are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Trail Blazers 63%, with a projected score of Portland Trail Blazers 117, Memphis Grizzlies 113. The rating gap is 190 points in favor of the Trail Blazers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Grizzlies on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 37 times in 100 games like this, the Grizzlies would win.

Recent form

The Trail Blazers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -0.6. The Grizzlies are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14.2.

The Trail Blazers' best recent win was 124-83 at home against PHX.

The Trail Blazers were beaten 114-93 at home by SAS not long ago.

The Grizzlies' best recent win was 123-103 at home against UTA.

The Grizzlies were beaten 147-101 on the road by UTA not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Shaedon Sharpe (POR), expected back Mar 2, 2027 and Zach Edey (MEM), expected back Oct 26, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Chris Youngblood (POR), Branden Carlson (POR), and Cedric Coward (MEM). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Trail Blazers lead 4-3, with the Grizzlies outscoring the Trail Blazers by an average of 6 points per game. The last meeting was POR 122, MEM 114.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Trail Blazers2-3, -0.6 avg margin
Grizzlies2-3, -14.2 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 2 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Grizzlies.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 4: POR 122, MEM 114
  • Feb 7: MEM 115, POR 122
  • Feb 6: MEM 115, POR 135
  • Dec 7: POR 96, MEM 119
  • Mar 19: MEM 99, POR 115

Injury report

Portland Trail Blazers
  • Shaedon Sharpe Out · back Mar 2
  • Chris Youngblood Day to day · back Oct 27
  • Branden Carlson Day to day · back Oct 27
Memphis Grizzlies
  • Cedric Coward Questionable · back Oct 25
  • Zach Edey Out · back Oct 26

Win Meter

63%
37%
Trail BlazersGrizzlies

Projected score: Trail Blazers 117, Grizzlies 113

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

63%
37%
Trail BlazersGrizzlies

Matchup at a glance

PORMEM
Record2-02-0
Last 5LLLWWLLLWW
Points per game126117
Allowed per game101.5105.5
Days of rest––
Rating15441354

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