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Houston Rockets at Phoenix Suns: preview and Win Meter

Houston Rockets → Phoenix Suns →

Recent form is the story in Houston Rockets at Phoenix Suns on Friday, February 5. The Rockets have won 4 of their last 5, while the Suns have won 1.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Suns 52%, with a projected score of Houston Rockets 115, Phoenix Suns 115. The rating gap is 86 points in favor of the Rockets, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Suns on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 48 times in 100 games like this, the Rockets would win.

The recent-form gap

The Rockets are 3-0 this season and 4-1 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +3. The Suns are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -13.2.

The Rockets' best recent win was 128-110 at home against DAL.

The Rockets were beaten 98-78 at home by LAL not long ago.

The Suns were beaten 124-83 on the road by POR not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Mark Williams (PHX), expected back Feb 3, 2027.

Day to day or questionable: Fred VanVleet (HOU), Steven Adams (HOU), Marcus Smart (HOU), and Oso Ighodaro (PHX). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Rockets lead 7-0, with the Rockets outscoring the Suns by an average of 16 points per game. The last meeting was HOU 119, PHX 105.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Rockets4-1, +3 avg margin
Suns1-4, -13.2 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The Rockets arrive in better form (W-L-W-W-W against L-L-L-L-W).
  • Health: 1 player is listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Suns.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 7: HOU 119, PHX 105
  • Jan 5: PHX 97, HOU 100
  • Dec 5: PHX 98, HOU 117
  • Nov 24: HOU 114, PHX 92
  • Mar 30: HOU 148, PHX 109

Injury report

Houston Rockets
  • Fred VanVleet Day to day · back Oct 26
  • Steven Adams Day to day · back Oct 26
  • Marcus Smart Day to day · back Oct 26
Phoenix Suns
  • Mark Williams Out · back Feb 3
  • Oso Ighodaro Day to day · back Oct 26

Win Meter

48%
52%
RocketsSuns

Projected score: Rockets 115, Suns 115

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

48%
52%
RocketsSuns

Matchup at a glance

HOUPHX
Record3-01-1
Last 5WLWWWLLLLW
Points per game121107
Allowed per game111.3123
Days of rest––
Rating15961510

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