Game preview · Fri 7:00 PM MT

LA Clippers at Denver Nuggets: preview and Win Meter

LA Clippers → Denver Nuggets →

The edge goes to the Nuggets at home against the Clippers on Friday, February 5, at about 73%. That is a real edge, but the Clippers are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Nuggets 73%, with a projected score of LA Clippers 112, Denver Nuggets 118. The rating gap is 69 points in favor of the Nuggets, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Nuggets on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The Clippers are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -0.4. The Nuggets are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -4.4.

The Clippers' best recent win was 121-96 at home against SAC.

The Clippers were beaten 116-97 on the road by POR not long ago.

The Nuggets were beaten 112-96 on the road by MIN not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Bradley Beal (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Max Strus (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Yanic Konan Niederhauser (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Brandon Ingram (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, and Jordan Miller (LAC), expected back Mar 2, 2027.

Day to day or questionable: Spencer Jones (DEN), Cameron Johnson (DEN), and Alpha Diallo (DEN). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Nuggets lead 8-6, with the Nuggets outscoring the Clippers by an average of 4.1 points per game. The last meeting was DEN 114, LAC 115.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Clippers2-3, -0.4 avg margin
Nuggets2-3, -4.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 6 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Nuggets.

Recent meetings

  • Feb 19: DEN 114, LAC 115
  • Jan 30: LAC 109, DEN 122
  • Nov 12: DEN 130, LAC 116
  • May 3: LAC 101, DEN 120 (playoffs)
  • May 1: DEN 105, LAC 111 (playoffs)

Injury report

LA Clippers
  • Bradley Beal Out · back Nov 8
  • Max Strus Out · back Nov 8
  • Yanic Konan Niederhauser Out · back Nov 8
  • Brandon Ingram Out · back Nov 8
  • Jordan Miller Out · back Mar 2
Denver Nuggets
  • Spencer Jones Day to day · back Oct 26
  • Julian Strawther Out · back Nov 29
  • Cameron Johnson Day to day · back Oct 26
  • Alpha Diallo Day to day · back Oct 26

Win Meter

27%
73%
ClippersNuggets

Projected score: Clippers 112, Nuggets 118

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

27%
73%
ClippersNuggets

Matchup at a glance

LACDEN
Record1-11-1
Last 5LWLWLLWLLW
Points per game119112.5
Allowed per game110.5115.5
Days of rest––
Rating15211590

More