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Detroit Pistons at Philadelphia 76ers: preview and Win Meter

Detroit Pistons → Philadelphia 76ers →

Detroit Pistons at Philadelphia 76ers on Friday, February 5 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the 76ers at only 53%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.

Why it is so close

The Win Meter reads the 76ers 53%, with a projected score of Detroit Pistons 115, Philadelphia 76ers 116. The rating gap is 76 points in favor of the Pistons, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the 76ers on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 47 times in 100 games like this, the Pistons would win.

Recent form

The Pistons are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +2.2. The 76ers are 3-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.8.

The Pistons' best recent win was 115-94 on the road against CLE.

The Pistons were beaten 125-94 at home by CLE not long ago.

The 76ers were beaten 144-114 at home by NYK not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Jalen Duren (DET), expected back Oct 27, 2026, Ugonna Onyenso (DET), Dominick Barlow (PHI), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Ariel Hukporti (PHI), expected back Oct 1, 2027, and Tacko Fall (PHI), expected back Oct 25, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Ausar Thompson (DET), Elijah Harkless (DET), Isaac Jones (DET), and LeBron James (PHI). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Pistons lead 6-1, with the Pistons outscoring the 76ers by an average of 9.3 points per game. The last meeting was DET 116, PHI 93.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Pistons3-2, +2.2 avg margin
76ers3-2, -3.8 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 5 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the 76ers.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 4: DET 116, PHI 93
  • Mar 12: PHI 109, DET 131
  • Nov 14: PHI 105, DET 114
  • Nov 9: DET 111, PHI 108
  • Feb 7: PHI 112, DET 125

Injury report

Detroit Pistons
  • Ausar Thompson Questionable · back Oct 25
  • Jalen Duren Out · back Oct 27
  • Elijah Harkless Questionable
  • Isaac Jones Questionable
  • Ugonna Onyenso Out
Philadelphia 76ers
  • Dominick Barlow Out · back Nov 2
  • Ariel Hukporti Out · back Oct 1
  • Tacko Fall Out · back Oct 25
  • LeBron James Day to day · back Oct 25
  • Jabari Walker Day to day · back Oct 25

Win Meter

47%
53%
Pistons76ers

Projected score: Pistons 115, 76ers 116

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

47%
53%
Pistons76ers

Matchup at a glance

DETPHI
Record2-03-0
Last 5LWLWWLLWWW
Points per game124.5115.7
Allowed per game112107.3
Days of rest––
Rating16361560

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