Our ratings lean toward the Timberwolves on the road against the Kings on Thursday, February 4, at about 70%. That is a real edge, but the Kings are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Timberwolves 70%, with a projected score of Minnesota Timberwolves 118, Sacramento Kings 112. The rating gap is 245 points in favor of the Timberwolves, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Kings on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 3 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Timberwolves are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.4. The Kings are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.8.
The Timberwolves' best recent win was 131-106 on the road against MIA.
The Timberwolves were beaten 139-109 at home by SAS not long ago.
The Kings were beaten 121-96 on the road by LAC not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Donte DiVincenzo (MIN), expected back Apr 2, 2027, Dylan Cardwell (SAC), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Maxime Raynaud (SAC), expected back Nov 2, 2026, and Ben Simmons (SAC), expected back Oct 1, 2027.
Day to day or questionable: Keegan Murray (SAC). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Timberwolves lead 5-3, with the Timberwolves outscoring the Kings by an average of 5.4 points per game. The last meeting was SAC 103, MIN 117.