Game preview · Thu 8:00 PM MT

Cleveland Cavaliers at Portland Trail Blazers: preview and Win Meter

Cleveland Cavaliers → Portland Trail Blazers →

The Win Meter favors the Trail Blazers at home against the Cavaliers on Thursday, February 4, at about 60%. That is a real edge, but the Cavaliers are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Trail Blazers 60%, with a projected score of Cleveland Cavaliers 114, Portland Trail Blazers 116. The rating gap is 30 points in favor of the Cavaliers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Trail Blazers on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 40 times in 100 games like this, the Cavaliers would win.

Recent form

The Cavaliers are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14. The Trail Blazers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -0.6.

The Cavaliers were beaten 130-93 at home by NYK not long ago.

The Trail Blazers' best recent win was 124-83 at home against PHX.

The Trail Blazers were beaten 114-93 at home by SAS not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Shaedon Sharpe (POR), expected back Mar 2, 2027.

Day to day or questionable: Chris Youngblood (POR) and Branden Carlson (POR). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Cavaliers lead 3-1, with the Cavaliers outscoring the Trail Blazers by an average of 5.5 points per game. The last meeting was CLE 130, POR 111.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Cavaliers1-4, -14 avg margin
Trail Blazers2-3, -0.6 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 1 player is listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Trail Blazers.

Recent meetings

  • Feb 1: CLE 130, POR 111
  • Dec 3: POR 122, CLE 110
  • Mar 25: CLE 122, POR 111
  • Mar 2: POR 129, CLE 133

Injury report

Cleveland Cavaliers

No reported injuries.

Portland Trail Blazers
  • Shaedon Sharpe Out · back Mar 2
  • Chris Youngblood Day to day · back Oct 27
  • Branden Carlson Day to day · back Oct 27

Win Meter

40%
60%
CavaliersTrail Blazers

Projected score: Cavaliers 114, Trail Blazers 116

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

40%
60%
CavaliersTrail Blazers

Matchup at a glance

CLEPOR
Record1-12-0
Last 5LLLLWLLLWW
Points per game115.5126
Allowed per game117.5101.5
Days of rest––
Rating15741544

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