Oklahoma City Thunder at Chicago Bulls on Thursday, February 4 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Thunder about a 80% chance, and the Bulls would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Thunder 80%, with a projected score of Oklahoma City Thunder 119, Chicago Bulls 111. The rating gap is 339 points in favor of the Thunder, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Bulls on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 5 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Thunder are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +0.4. The Bulls are 1-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -17.
The Thunder were beaten 118-91 on the road by SAS not long ago.
The Bulls were beaten 135-92 on the road by TOR not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Thomas Sorber (OKC), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Nikola Topic (OKC), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Otega Oweh (OKC), expected back Jul 1, 2027, Nicolas Claxton (CHI), expected back Nov 4, 2026, and Noa Essengue (CHI), expected back Oct 26, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Thunder lead 4-0, with the Thunder outscoring the Bulls by an average of 18.2 points per game. The last meeting was CHI 113, OKC 131.