Utah Jazz at Houston Rockets on Wednesday, February 3 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Rockets about a 89% chance, and the Jazz would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Rockets 89%, with a projected score of Utah Jazz 108, Houston Rockets 122. The rating gap is 271 points in favor of the Rockets, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Rockets on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 9 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Jazz are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.2. The Rockets are 3-0 this season and 4-1 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +3.
The Jazz's best recent win was 147-101 at home against MEM.
The Jazz were beaten 131-107 on the road by LAL not long ago.
The Rockets' best recent win was 128-110 at home against DAL.
The Rockets were beaten 98-78 at home by LAL not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Jusuf Nurkic (UTA), expected back Nov 4, 2026, Trey Alexander (UTA), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Harrison Ingram (UTA), Fred VanVleet (HOU), expected back Oct 26, 2026, and Steven Adams (HOU), expected back Oct 26, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Rockets lead 5-2, with the Rockets outscoring the Jazz by an average of 16.3 points per game. The last meeting was UTA 106, HOU 140.