Cleveland Cavaliers at Phoenix Suns on Wednesday, February 3 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Suns at only 55%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.
Why it is so close
The Win Meter reads the Suns 55%, with a projected score of Cleveland Cavaliers 114, Phoenix Suns 116. The rating gap is 64 points in favor of the Cavaliers, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Suns on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 45 times in 100 games like this, the Cavaliers would win.
Recent form
The Cavaliers are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14. The Suns are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -13.2.
The Cavaliers were beaten 130-93 at home by NYK not long ago.
The Suns were beaten 124-83 on the road by POR not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Mark Williams (PHX), expected back Feb 3, 2027 and Oso Ighodaro (PHX), expected back Oct 26, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Cavaliers outscoring the Suns by an average of 4.5 points per game. The last meeting was CLE 113, PHX 126.