The edge goes to the Hawks on the road against the Pacers on Wednesday, February 3, at about 66%. That is a real edge, but the Pacers are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Hawks 66%, with a projected score of Atlanta Hawks 117, Indiana Pacers 113. The rating gap is 215 points in favor of the Hawks, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Pacers on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 34 times in 100 games like this, the Pacers would win.
Recent form
The Hawks are 2-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -6.6. The Pacers are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.4.
The Hawks' best recent win was 128-81 on the road against CHA.
The Hawks were beaten 140-89 at home by NYK not long ago.
The Pacers' best recent win was 123-94 on the road against BKN.
The Pacers were beaten 121-105 at home by DAL not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Henri Veesaar (ATL), expected back Jul 1, 2027, Mouhamed Gueye (ATL), expected back Nov 20, 2026, T.J. McConnell (IND), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Johnny Furphy (IND), expected back Jan 2, 2027, and Ben Sheppard (IND), expected back Dec 1, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Kobe Brown (IND) and Aaron Nesmith (IND). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Hawks lead 4-2, with the Hawks outscoring the Pacers by an average of 5.7 points per game. The last meeting was ATL 124, IND 129.