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Minnesota Timberwolves at Portland Trail Blazers: preview and Win Meter

Minnesota Timberwolves → Portland Trail Blazers →

Minnesota Timberwolves at Portland Trail Blazers on Tuesday, February 2 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Trail Blazers at only 56%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.

Why it is so close

The Win Meter reads the Trail Blazers 56%, with a projected score of Minnesota Timberwolves 114, Portland Trail Blazers 116. The rating gap is 56 points in favor of the Timberwolves, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Trail Blazers on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 44 times in 100 games like this, the Timberwolves would win.

Recent form

The Timberwolves are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.4. The Trail Blazers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -0.6.

The Timberwolves' best recent win was 131-106 on the road against MIA.

The Timberwolves were beaten 139-109 at home by SAS not long ago.

The Trail Blazers' best recent win was 124-83 at home against PHX.

The Trail Blazers were beaten 114-93 at home by SAS not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Donte DiVincenzo (MIN), expected back Apr 2, 2027 and Shaedon Sharpe (POR), expected back Mar 2, 2027.

Day to day or questionable: Chris Youngblood (POR) and Branden Carlson (POR). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Timberwolves lead 5-3, with the Timberwolves outscoring the Trail Blazers by an average of 5.7 points per game. The last meeting was POR 108, MIN 104.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Timberwolves3-2, -1.4 avg margin
Trail Blazers2-3, -0.6 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 2 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Trail Blazers.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 20: POR 108, MIN 104
  • Feb 24: MIN 124, POR 121
  • Feb 11: POR 109, MIN 133
  • Oct 22: MIN 118, POR 114
  • Feb 8: POR 98, MIN 114

Injury report

Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Donte DiVincenzo Out · back Apr 2
Portland Trail Blazers
  • Shaedon Sharpe Out · back Mar 2
  • Chris Youngblood Day to day · back Oct 27
  • Branden Carlson Day to day · back Oct 27

Win Meter

44%
56%
TimberwolvesTrail Blazers

Projected score: Timberwolves 114, Trail Blazers 116

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

44%
56%
TimberwolvesTrail Blazers

Matchup at a glance

MINPOR
Record2-02-0
Last 5WLLWWLLLWW
Points per game123126
Allowed per game99.5101.5
Days of rest––
Rating16001544

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