Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets on Tuesday, February 2 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Thunder at only 53%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.
Why it is so close
The Win Meter reads the Thunder 53%, with a projected score of Oklahoma City Thunder 115, Denver Nuggets 115. The rating gap is 120 points in favor of the Thunder, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Nuggets on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 47 times in 100 games like this, the Nuggets would win.
Recent form
The Thunder are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +0.4. The Nuggets are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -4.4.
The Thunder were beaten 118-91 on the road by SAS not long ago.
The Nuggets were beaten 112-96 on the road by MIN not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Thomas Sorber (OKC), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Nikola Topic (OKC), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Otega Oweh (OKC), expected back Jul 1, 2027, Spencer Jones (DEN), expected back Oct 26, 2026, and Julian Strawther (DEN), expected back Nov 29, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Thunder lead 10-6, with the Thunder outscoring the Nuggets by an average of 6.2 points per game. The last meeting was DEN 84, OKC 96.