The edge goes to the Raptors on the road against the Mavericks on Tuesday, February 2, at about 59%. That is a real edge, but the Mavericks are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Raptors 59%, with a projected score of Toronto Raptors 116, Dallas Mavericks 114. The rating gap is 161 points in favor of the Raptors, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Mavericks on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 41 times in 100 games like this, the Mavericks would win.
Recent form
The Raptors are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +7.6. The Mavericks are 1-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.2.
The Raptors' best recent win was 135-92 at home against CHI.
The Mavericks' best recent win was 149-128 at home against CHI.
The Mavericks were beaten 139-120 on the road by SAS not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Nate Bittle (TOR), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Malachi Smith (TOR), Santi Aldama (DAL), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Dereck Lively II (DAL), expected back Oct 28, 2026, and Tarik Biberovic (DAL), expected back Nov 2, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Mavericks lead 3-1, with the Mavericks outscoring the Raptors by an average of 2.3 points per game. The last meeting was DAL 92, TOR 122.