New Orleans Pelicans at Orlando Magic on Tuesday, February 2 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Magic about a 77% chance, and the Pelicans would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Magic 77%, with a projected score of New Orleans Pelicans 111, Orlando Magic 119. The rating gap is 109 points in favor of the Magic, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Magic on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Pelicans are 0-3 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4. The Magic are 0-2 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14.4.
The Pelicans were beaten 144-118 on the road by BOS not long ago.
The Magic were beaten 115-93 at home by MIN not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Yves Missi (NOP), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Jonathan Isaac (ORL), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Izaiyah Nelson (ORL), expected back Nov 18, 2026, Noah Penda (ORL), expected back Nov 18, 2026, and Paolo Banchero (ORL), expected back Nov 22, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Anthony Black (ORL). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Magic lead 4-0, with the Magic outscoring the Pelicans by an average of 15.3 points per game. The last meeting was ORL 112, NOP 108.