Game preview · Tue 5:00 PM MT

Chicago Bulls at Detroit Pistons: preview and Win Meter

Chicago Bulls → Detroit Pistons →

Chicago Bulls at Detroit Pistons on Tuesday, February 2 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Pistons about a 89% chance, and the Bulls would need an unusual night to change that.

Why the gap is wide

The Win Meter reads the Pistons 89%, with a projected score of Chicago Bulls 109, Detroit Pistons 122. The rating gap is 265 points in favor of the Pistons, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Pistons on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 9 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The Bulls are 1-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -17. The Pistons are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +2.2.

The Bulls were beaten 135-92 on the road by TOR not long ago.

The Pistons' best recent win was 115-94 on the road against CLE.

The Pistons were beaten 125-94 at home by CLE not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Nicolas Claxton (CHI), expected back Nov 4, 2026, Noa Essengue (CHI), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Patrick Williams (CHI), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Jalen Duren (DET), expected back Oct 27, 2026, and Ugonna Onyenso (DET).

Day to day or questionable: Ausar Thompson (DET), Elijah Harkless (DET), and Isaac Jones (DET). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Pistons lead 6-2, with the Pistons outscoring the Bulls by an average of 11.8 points per game. The last meeting was DET 126, CHI 110.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Bulls1-4, -17 avg margin
Pistons3-2, +2.2 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The Pistons arrive in better form (L-W-L-W-W against L-L-L-W-L).
  • Health: 5 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Pistons.

Recent meetings

  • Feb 21: DET 126, CHI 110
  • Jan 7: CHI 93, DET 108
  • Nov 12: CHI 113, DET 124
  • Oct 22: DET 111, CHI 115
  • Feb 12: DET 128, CHI 110

Injury report

Chicago Bulls
  • Nicolas Claxton Out · back Nov 4
  • Noa Essengue Out · back Oct 26
  • Patrick Williams Out · back Oct 26
Detroit Pistons
  • Ausar Thompson Questionable · back Oct 25
  • Jalen Duren Out · back Oct 27
  • Elijah Harkless Questionable
  • Isaac Jones Questionable
  • Ugonna Onyenso Out

Win Meter

11%
89%
BullsPistons

Projected score: Bulls 109, Pistons 122

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

11%
89%
BullsPistons

Matchup at a glance

CHIDET
Record1-22-0
Last 5LLLWLLWLWW
Points per game114.7124.5
Allowed per game128112
Days of rest––
Rating13711636

More