Game preview · Mon 6:00 PM MT

Memphis Grizzlies at Milwaukee Bucks: preview and Win Meter

Memphis Grizzlies → Milwaukee Bucks →

Our ratings lean toward the Bucks at home against the Grizzlies on Monday, February 1, at about 64%. That is a real edge, but the Grizzlies are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Bucks 64%, with a projected score of Memphis Grizzlies 113, Milwaukee Bucks 117. The two teams are rated almost level, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Bucks on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 36 times in 100 games like this, the Grizzlies would win.

Recent form

The Grizzlies are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14.2. The Bucks are 0-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -6.6.

The Grizzlies' best recent win was 123-103 at home against UTA.

The Grizzlies were beaten 147-101 on the road by UTA not long ago.

The Bucks' best recent win was 125-108 at home against BKN.

The Bucks were beaten 126-106 on the road by PHI not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Zach Edey (MEM), expected back Oct 26, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Cedric Coward (MEM). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Grizzlies lead 3-1, with the Grizzlies outscoring the Bucks by an average of 10.2 points per game. The last meeting was MEM 115, MIL 131.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Grizzlies2-3, -14.2 avg margin
Bucks1-4, -6.6 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 1 player is listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Bucks.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 5: MEM 115, MIL 131
  • Dec 26: MIL 104, MEM 125
  • Feb 2: MEM 132, MIL 119
  • Oct 31: MIL 99, MEM 122

Injury report

Memphis Grizzlies
  • Cedric Coward Questionable · back Oct 25
  • Zach Edey Out · back Oct 26
Milwaukee Bucks

No reported injuries.

Win Meter

36%
64%
GrizzliesBucks

Projected score: Grizzlies 113, Bucks 117

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

36%
64%
GrizzliesBucks

Matchup at a glance

MEMMIL
Record2-00-3
Last 5LLLWWWLLLL
Points per game117119
Allowed per game105.5129
Days of rest––
Rating13541356

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