The edge goes to the Nuggets at home against the Trail Blazers on Sunday, January 31, at about 70%. That is a real edge, but the Trail Blazers are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Nuggets 70%, with a projected score of Portland Trail Blazers 112, Denver Nuggets 118. The rating gap is 46 points in favor of the Nuggets, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Nuggets on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 3 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Trail Blazers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -0.6. The Nuggets are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -4.4.
The Trail Blazers' best recent win was 124-83 at home against PHX.
The Trail Blazers were beaten 114-93 at home by SAS not long ago.
The Nuggets were beaten 112-96 on the road by MIN not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Shaedon Sharpe (POR), expected back Mar 2, 2027, Spencer Jones (DEN), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Julian Strawther (DEN), expected back Nov 29, 2026, Cameron Johnson (DEN), expected back Oct 26, 2026, and Alpha Diallo (DEN), expected back Oct 26, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Chris Youngblood (POR) and Branden Carlson (POR). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Nuggets lead 5-3, with the Nuggets outscoring the Trail Blazers by an average of 11.5 points per game. The last meeting was POR 132, DEN 137.