Boston Celtics at Toronto Raptors on Sunday, January 31 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Raptors at only 57%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.
Why it is so close
The Win Meter reads the Raptors 57%, with a projected score of Boston Celtics 114, Toronto Raptors 116. The rating gap is 52 points in favor of the Celtics, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Raptors on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 43 times in 100 games like this, the Celtics would win.
Recent form
The Celtics are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4. The Raptors are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +7.6.
The Celtics were beaten 113-97 at home by PHI not long ago.
The Raptors' best recent win was 135-92 at home against CHI.
Injuries to watch
Out: Devin Carter (BOS), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Nate Bittle (TOR), expected back Oct 28, 2026, and Malachi Smith (TOR).
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Celtics lead 7-1, with the Celtics outscoring the Raptors by an average of 12.5 points per game. The last meeting was TOR 101, BOS 115.