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Memphis Grizzlies at Utah Jazz: preview and Win Meter

Memphis Grizzlies → Utah Jazz →

The Win Meter favors the Jazz at home against the Grizzlies on Saturday, January 30, at about 60%. That is a real edge, but the Grizzlies are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Jazz 60%, with a projected score of Memphis Grizzlies 114, Utah Jazz 116. The rating gap is 29 points in favor of the Grizzlies, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Jazz on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 40 times in 100 games like this, the Grizzlies would win.

Recent form

The Grizzlies are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14.2. The Jazz are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.2.

The Grizzlies' best recent win was 123-103 at home against UTA.

The Grizzlies were beaten 147-101 on the road by UTA not long ago.

The Jazz's best recent win was 147-101 at home against MEM.

The Jazz were beaten 131-107 on the road by LAL not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Zach Edey (MEM), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Jusuf Nurkic (UTA), expected back Nov 4, 2026, Trey Alexander (UTA), expected back Oct 26, 2026, and Harrison Ingram (UTA).

Day to day or questionable: Cedric Coward (MEM). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Grizzlies lead 7-2, with the Grizzlies outscoring the Jazz by an average of 6.2 points per game. The last meeting was UTA 103, MEM 123.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Grizzlies2-3, -14.2 avg margin
Jazz2-3, -3.2 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 4 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Jazz.

Recent meetings

  • Oct 21: UTA 103, MEM 123
  • Apr 10: MEM 101, UTA 147
  • Feb 20: UTA 114, MEM 123
  • Dec 23: MEM 137, UTA 128
  • Dec 12: UTA 130, MEM 126

Injury report

Memphis Grizzlies
  • Cedric Coward Questionable · back Oct 25
  • Zach Edey Out · back Oct 26
Utah Jazz
  • Jusuf Nurkic Out · back Nov 4
  • Trey Alexander Out · back Oct 26
  • Harrison Ingram Out

Win Meter

40%
60%
GrizzliesJazz

Projected score: Grizzlies 114, Jazz 116

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

40%
60%
GrizzliesJazz

Matchup at a glance

MEMUTA
Record2-01-1
Last 5LLLWWLWLLW
Points per game117111.5
Allowed per game105.5121
Days of rest––
Rating13541325

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