The edge goes to the Hawks on the road against the Bucks on Saturday, January 30, at about 67%. That is a real edge, but the Bucks are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Hawks 67%, with a projected score of Atlanta Hawks 117, Milwaukee Bucks 113. The rating gap is 224 points in favor of the Hawks, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Bucks on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 33 times in 100 games like this, the Bucks would win.
Recent form
The Hawks are 2-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -6.6. The Bucks are 0-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -6.6.
The Hawks' best recent win was 128-81 on the road against CHA.
The Hawks were beaten 140-89 at home by NYK not long ago.
The Bucks' best recent win was 125-108 at home against BKN.
The Bucks were beaten 126-106 on the road by PHI not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Hawks score 124.7 a game and allow 109. The Bucks score 119 and allow 129. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 126.9 for the Hawks and 114 for the Bucks, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Bucks should find points against the Hawks' defense, which has been giving up 109.
Injuries to watch
Out: Henri Veesaar (ATL), expected back Jul 1, 2027 and Mouhamed Gueye (ATL), expected back Nov 20, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Hawks lead 5-3, with the Hawks outscoring the Bucks by an average of 8.2 points per game. The last meeting was MIL 99, ATL 122.