Our ratings lean toward the Pacers at home against the Wizards on Saturday, January 30, at about 73%. That is a real edge, but the Wizards are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Pacers 73%, with a projected score of Washington Wizards 112, Indiana Pacers 118. The rating gap is 70 points in favor of the Pacers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Pacers on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Wizards are 2-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -6. The Pacers are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.4.
The Wizards were beaten 140-117 at home by MIA not long ago.
The Pacers' best recent win was 123-94 on the road against BKN.
The Pacers were beaten 121-105 at home by DAL not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Tristan Vukcevic (WAS), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Jamir Watkins (WAS), expected back Apr 2, 2027, AJ Dybantsa (WAS), expected back Oct 26, 2026, T.J. McConnell (IND), expected back Oct 26, 2026, and Johnny Furphy (IND), expected back Jan 2, 2027.
Day to day or questionable: Kobe Brown (IND) and Aaron Nesmith (IND). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Pacers lead 5-3, with the Pacers outscoring the Wizards by an average of 8.6 points per game. The last meeting was IND 118, WAS 131.