Game preview · Fri 7:30 PM MT

Charlotte Hornets at Minnesota Timberwolves: preview and Win Meter

Charlotte Hornets → Minnesota Timberwolves →

The edge goes to the Timberwolves at home against the Hornets on Friday, January 29, at about 70%. That is a real edge, but the Hornets are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Timberwolves 70%, with a projected score of Charlotte Hornets 113, Minnesota Timberwolves 118. The rating gap is 44 points in favor of the Timberwolves, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Timberwolves on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 3 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The Hornets are 2-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -13. The Timberwolves are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.4.

The Hornets were beaten 128-81 at home by ATL not long ago.

The Timberwolves' best recent win was 131-106 on the road against MIA.

The Timberwolves were beaten 139-109 at home by SAS not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Kylan Boswell (CHA), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Coby White (CHA), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Kon Knueppel (CHA), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Grant Williams (CHA), expected back Oct 30, 2026, and Donte DiVincenzo (MIN), expected back Apr 2, 2027.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Timberwolves lead 3-1, with the Timberwolves outscoring the Hornets by an average of 9.8 points per game. The last meeting was CHA 122, MIN 108.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Hornets3-2, -13 avg margin
Timberwolves3-2, -1.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 5 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Timberwolves.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 5: CHA 122, MIN 108
  • Nov 1: MIN 122, CHA 105
  • Mar 5: MIN 125, CHA 110
  • Nov 4: CHA 93, MIN 114

Injury report

Charlotte Hornets
  • Kylan Boswell Out · back Nov 2
  • Coby White Out · back Oct 26
  • Kon Knueppel Out · back Oct 26
  • Grant Williams Out · back Oct 30
Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Donte DiVincenzo Out · back Apr 2

Win Meter

30%
70%
HornetsTimberwolves

Projected score: Hornets 113, Timberwolves 118

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

30%
70%
HornetsTimberwolves

Matchup at a glance

CHAMIN
Record2-12-0
Last 5WLWLWWLLWW
Points per game102123
Allowed per game113.799.5
Days of rest––
Rating15561600

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