Game preview · Fri 6:30 PM MT

Orlando Magic at Houston Rockets: preview and Win Meter

Orlando Magic → Houston Rockets →

Recent form is the story in Orlando Magic at Houston Rockets on Friday, January 29. The Rockets have won 4 of their last 5, while the Magic have won 0.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Rockets 74%, with a projected score of Orlando Magic 112, Houston Rockets 118. The rating gap is 79 points in favor of the Rockets, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Rockets on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.

The recent-form gap

The Magic are 0-2 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14.4. The Rockets are 3-0 this season and 4-1 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +3.

The Magic were beaten 115-93 at home by MIN not long ago.

The Rockets' best recent win was 128-110 at home against DAL.

The Rockets were beaten 98-78 at home by LAL not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Jonathan Isaac (ORL), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Izaiyah Nelson (ORL), expected back Nov 18, 2026, Noah Penda (ORL), expected back Nov 18, 2026, Paolo Banchero (ORL), expected back Nov 22, 2026, and Fred VanVleet (HOU), expected back Oct 26, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Anthony Black (ORL). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Rockets lead 4-0, with the Rockets outscoring the Magic by an average of 7.5 points per game. The last meeting was HOU 113, ORL 108.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Magic0-5, -14.4 avg margin
Rockets4-1, +3 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The Rockets arrive in better form (W-L-W-W-W against L-L-L-L-L).
  • Health: 7 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Rockets.

Recent meetings

  • Feb 26: HOU 113, ORL 108
  • Nov 16: ORL 113, HOU 117
  • Mar 19: HOU 116, ORL 108
  • Mar 10: ORL 84, HOU 97

Injury report

Orlando Magic
  • Anthony Black Questionable · back Oct 25
  • Jonathan Isaac Out · back Oct 28
  • Izaiyah Nelson Out · back Nov 18
  • Noah Penda Out · back Nov 18
  • Paolo Banchero Out · back Nov 22
Houston Rockets
  • Fred VanVleet Out · back Oct 26
  • Steven Adams Out · back Oct 26
  • Marcus Smart Out · back Oct 26

Win Meter

26%
74%
MagicRockets

Projected score: Magic 112, Rockets 118

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

26%
74%
MagicRockets

Matchup at a glance

ORLHOU
Record0-23-0
Last 5LLLLLWLWWW
Points per game109121
Allowed per game123.5111.3
Days of rest––
Rating15171596

More