Phoenix Suns at Boston Celtics on Friday, January 29 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Celtics about a 76% chance, and the Suns would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Celtics 76%, with a projected score of Phoenix Suns 112, Boston Celtics 119. The rating gap is 99 points in favor of the Celtics, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Celtics on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Suns are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -13.2. The Celtics are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4.
The Suns were beaten 124-83 on the road by POR not long ago.
The Celtics were beaten 113-97 at home by PHI not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Mark Williams (PHX), expected back Feb 3, 2027, Oso Ighodaro (PHX), expected back Oct 26, 2026, and Devin Carter (BOS), expected back Nov 8, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Celtics lead 4-0, with the Celtics outscoring the Suns by an average of 18.5 points per game. The last meeting was PHX 112, BOS 120.