Golden State Warriors at Utah Jazz on Thursday, January 28 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Warriors at only 50%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.
Why it is so close
The Win Meter reads the Warriors 50%, with a projected score of Golden State Warriors 115, Utah Jazz 115. The rating gap is 102 points in favor of the Warriors, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Jazz on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 50 times in 100 games like this, the Jazz would win.
Recent form
The Warriors are 0-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.8. The Jazz are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.2.
The Warriors were beaten 127-105 on the road by LAL not long ago.
The Jazz's best recent win was 147-101 at home against MEM.
The Jazz were beaten 131-107 on the road by LAL not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Kristaps Porzingis (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, Jimmy Butler (GSW), expected back Jan 2, 2027, Moses Moody (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, Brandin Podziemski (GSW), expected back Oct 26, 2026, and Stephen Curry (GSW), expected back Oct 26, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Warriors lead 5-2, with the Warriors outscoring the Jazz by an average of 12.6 points per game. The last meeting was GSW 116, UTA 119.