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Philadelphia 76ers at New Orleans Pelicans: preview and Win Meter

Philadelphia 76ers → New Orleans Pelicans →

Recent form is the story in Philadelphia 76ers at New Orleans Pelicans on Thursday, January 28. The 76ers have won 3 of their last 5, while the Pelicans have won 0.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the 76ers 57%, with a projected score of Philadelphia 76ers 116, New Orleans Pelicans 114. The rating gap is 152 points in favor of the 76ers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Pelicans on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 43 times in 100 games like this, the Pelicans would win.

The recent-form gap

The 76ers are 3-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.8. The Pelicans are 0-3 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4.

The 76ers were beaten 144-114 at home by NYK not long ago.

The Pelicans were beaten 144-118 on the road by BOS not long ago.

Offense against defense

The 76ers score 115.7 a game and allow 107.3. The Pelicans score 124.7 and allow 128. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 121.9 for the 76ers and 116 for the Pelicans, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.

The Pelicans have been tough to score on, which should slow the 76ers.

The Pelicans should find points against the 76ers' defense, which has been giving up 107.3.

Injuries to watch

Out: Dominick Barlow (PHI), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Ariel Hukporti (PHI), expected back Oct 1, 2027, Tacko Fall (PHI), expected back Oct 25, 2026, LeBron James (PHI), expected back Oct 25, 2026, and Yves Missi (NOP), expected back Nov 2, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Jabari Walker (PHI). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Pelicans lead 3-1, with the Pelicans outscoring the 76ers by an average of 6.5 points per game. The last meeting was PHI 111, NOP 126.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

76ers3-2, -3.8 avg margin
Pelicans0-5, -8.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Offense against defense

Scoring per game. Matchup math pairs each offense with the other team's defense.

Points scored
115.7
124.7
Points allowed
107.3
128
Matchup math
121.9
116
■ 76ers■ Pelicans

Keys to the game

  • Scoring math favors the 76ers: about 121.9 points expected against 116.
  • The 76ers arrive in better form (L-L-W-W-W against L-L-L-L-L).
  • Health: 5 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Pelicans.

Recent meetings

  • Feb 21: PHI 111, NOP 126
  • Jan 31: NOP 114, PHI 124
  • Mar 24: PHI 99, NOP 112
  • Jan 10: NOP 123, PHI 115

Injury report

Philadelphia 76ers
  • Dominick Barlow Out · back Nov 2
  • Ariel Hukporti Out · back Oct 1
  • Tacko Fall Out · back Oct 25
  • LeBron James Out · back Oct 25
  • Jabari Walker Day to day · back Oct 25
New Orleans Pelicans
  • Yves Missi Out · back Nov 2

Win Meter

57%
43%
76ersPelicans

Projected score: 76ers 116, Pelicans 114

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

57%
43%
76ersPelicans

Matchup at a glance

PHINOP
Record3-00-3
Last 5LLWWWLLLLL
Points per game115.7124.7
Allowed per game107.3128
Days of rest––
Rating15601408

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