Sacramento Kings at Washington Wizards on Thursday, January 28 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Wizards at only 56%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.
Why it is so close
The Win Meter reads the Wizards 56%, with a projected score of Sacramento Kings 114, Washington Wizards 116. The rating gap is 60 points in favor of the Kings, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Wizards on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 44 times in 100 games like this, the Kings would win.
Recent form
The Kings are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.8. The Wizards are 2-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -6.
The Kings were beaten 121-96 on the road by LAC not long ago.
The Wizards were beaten 140-117 at home by MIA not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Dylan Cardwell (SAC), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Maxime Raynaud (SAC), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Ben Simmons (SAC), expected back Oct 1, 2027, Tristan Vukcevic (WAS), expected back Nov 2, 2026, and Jamir Watkins (WAS), expected back Apr 2, 2027.
Day to day or questionable: Keegan Murray (SAC). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Kings outscoring the Wizards by an average of 6.7 points per game. The last meeting was SAC 112, WAS 116.