Atlanta Hawks at New York Knicks on Thursday, January 28 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Knicks about a 79% chance, and the Hawks would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Knicks 79%, with a projected score of Atlanta Hawks 111, New York Knicks 119. The rating gap is 129 points in favor of the Knicks, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Knicks on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 5 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Hawks are 2-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -6.6. The Knicks are 0-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.8.
The Hawks' best recent win was 128-81 on the road against CHA.
The Hawks were beaten 140-89 at home by NYK not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Henri Veesaar (ATL), expected back Jul 1, 2027 and Mouhamed Gueye (ATL), expected back Nov 20, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Jose Alvarado (NYK). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Knicks lead 9-5, with the Knicks outscoring the Hawks by an average of 8 points per game. The last meeting was NYK 140, ATL 89.