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Los Angeles Lakers at Indiana Pacers: preview and Win Meter

Los Angeles Lakers → Indiana Pacers →

The Win Meter favors the Lakers on the road against the Pacers on Thursday, January 28, at about 66%. That is a real edge, but the Pacers are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Lakers 66%, with a projected score of Los Angeles Lakers 117, Indiana Pacers 113. The rating gap is 213 points in favor of the Lakers, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Pacers on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 34 times in 100 games like this, the Pacers would win.

Recent form

The Lakers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.2. The Pacers are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.4.

The Lakers' best recent win was 127-105 at home against GSW.

The Lakers were beaten 131-108 at home by OKC not long ago.

The Pacers' best recent win was 123-94 on the road against BKN.

The Pacers were beaten 121-105 at home by DAL not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Cameron Carr (LAL), expected back Oct 27, 2026, Adou Thiero (LAL), expected back Oct 27, 2026, T.J. McConnell (IND), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Johnny Furphy (IND), expected back Jan 2, 2027, and Ben Sheppard (IND), expected back Dec 1, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Walker Kessler (LAL), Kobe Brown (IND), and Aaron Nesmith (IND). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Lakers lead 4-0, with the Lakers outscoring the Pacers by an average of 6.5 points per game. The last meeting was LAL 137, IND 130.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Lakers2-3, -3.2 avg margin
Pacers2-3, -1.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 5 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Pacers.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 25: LAL 137, IND 130
  • Mar 6: IND 117, LAL 128
  • Mar 26: LAL 120, IND 119
  • Feb 8: IND 117, LAL 124

Injury report

Los Angeles Lakers
  • Cameron Carr Out · back Oct 27
  • Adou Thiero Out · back Oct 27
  • Walker Kessler Available
Indiana Pacers
  • T.J. McConnell Out · back Oct 26
  • Johnny Furphy Out · back Jan 2
  • Ben Sheppard Out · back Dec 1
  • Kobe Brown Probable
  • Aaron Nesmith Probable · back Oct 25

Win Meter

66%
34%
LakersPacers

Projected score: Lakers 117, Pacers 113

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

66%
34%
LakersPacers

Matchup at a glance

LALIND
Record2-01-1
Last 5LLLWWWLLWL
Points per game126114
Allowed per game111120.5
Days of rest––
Rating15781365

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