Golden State Warriors at Portland Trail Blazers on Wednesday, January 27 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Trail Blazers about a 78% chance, and the Warriors would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Trail Blazers 78%, with a projected score of Golden State Warriors 111, Portland Trail Blazers 119. The rating gap is 117 points in favor of the Trail Blazers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Trail Blazers on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 5 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Warriors are 0-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.8. The Trail Blazers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -0.6.
The Warriors were beaten 127-105 on the road by LAL not long ago.
The Trail Blazers' best recent win was 124-83 at home against PHX.
The Trail Blazers were beaten 114-93 at home by SAS not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Kristaps Porzingis (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, Jimmy Butler (GSW), expected back Jan 2, 2027, Moses Moody (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, Brandin Podziemski (GSW), expected back Oct 26, 2026, and Stephen Curry (GSW), expected back Oct 26, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Chris Youngblood (POR) and Branden Carlson (POR). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Warriors lead 4-3, with the Warriors outscoring the Trail Blazers by an average of 8 points per game. The last meeting was POR 97, GSW 119.