Oklahoma City Thunder at Los Angeles Lakers on Tuesday, January 26 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Thunder at only 54%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.
Why it is so close
The Win Meter reads the Thunder 54%, with a projected score of Oklahoma City Thunder 116, Los Angeles Lakers 115. The rating gap is 132 points in favor of the Thunder, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Lakers on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 46 times in 100 games like this, the Lakers would win.
Recent form
The Thunder are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +0.4. The Lakers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.2.
The Thunder were beaten 118-91 on the road by SAS not long ago.
The Lakers' best recent win was 127-105 at home against GSW.
The Lakers were beaten 131-108 at home by OKC not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Thomas Sorber (OKC), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Nikola Topic (OKC), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Otega Oweh (OKC), expected back Jul 1, 2027, Cameron Carr (LAL), expected back Oct 27, 2026, and Adou Thiero (LAL), expected back Oct 27, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Walker Kessler (LAL). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Thunder lead 10-1, with the Thunder outscoring the Lakers by an average of 16.2 points per game. The last meeting was OKC 115, LAL 110.