Washington Wizards at Portland Trail Blazers on Tuesday, January 26 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Trail Blazers about a 88% chance, and the Wizards would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Trail Blazers 88%, with a projected score of Washington Wizards 109, Portland Trail Blazers 121. The rating gap is 249 points in favor of the Trail Blazers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Trail Blazers on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 8 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Wizards are 2-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -6. The Trail Blazers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -0.6.
The Wizards were beaten 140-117 at home by MIA not long ago.
The Trail Blazers' best recent win was 124-83 at home against PHX.
The Trail Blazers were beaten 114-93 at home by SAS not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Tristan Vukcevic (WAS), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Jamir Watkins (WAS), expected back Apr 2, 2027, AJ Dybantsa (WAS), expected back Oct 26, 2026, and Shaedon Sharpe (POR), expected back Mar 2, 2027.
Day to day or questionable: Chris Youngblood (POR) and Branden Carlson (POR). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Trail Blazers lead 3-1, with the Trail Blazers outscoring the Wizards by an average of 13.5 points per game. The last meeting was WAS 88, POR 123.