The edge goes to the Jazz at home against the Bucks on Tuesday, January 26, at about 60%. That is a real edge, but the Bucks are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Jazz 60%, with a projected score of Milwaukee Bucks 114, Utah Jazz 116. The rating gap is 31 points in favor of the Bucks, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Jazz on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 40 times in 100 games like this, the Bucks would win.
Recent form
The Bucks are 0-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -6.6. The Jazz are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.2.
The Bucks' best recent win was 125-108 at home against BKN.
The Bucks were beaten 126-106 on the road by PHI not long ago.
The Jazz's best recent win was 147-101 at home against MEM.
The Jazz were beaten 131-107 on the road by LAL not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Jusuf Nurkic (UTA), expected back Nov 4, 2026, Trey Alexander (UTA), expected back Oct 26, 2026, and Harrison Ingram (UTA).
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Bucks lead 3-1, with the Bucks outscoring the Jazz by an average of 5 points per game. The last meeting was MIL 96, UTA 128.