Recent form is the story in Houston Rockets at San Antonio Spurs on Tuesday, January 26. The Rockets have won 4 of their last 5, while the Spurs have won 1.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Spurs 74%, with a projected score of Houston Rockets 112, San Antonio Spurs 118. The rating gap is 85 points in favor of the Spurs, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Spurs on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.
The recent-form gap
The Rockets are 3-0 this season and 4-1 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +3. The Spurs are 1-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.
The Rockets' best recent win was 128-110 at home against DAL.
The Rockets were beaten 98-78 at home by LAL not long ago.
The Spurs' best recent win was 122-106 on the road against DAL.
Offense against defense
The Rockets score 121 a game and allow 111.3. The Spurs score 112 and allow 112. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 116.5 for the Rockets and 111.7 for the Spurs, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Rockets' offense is the stronger unit against the Spurs' defense.
Injuries to watch
Out: Fred VanVleet (HOU), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Steven Adams (HOU), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Marcus Smart (HOU), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Jayden Quaintance (SAS), expected back Dec 3, 2026, and Tobias Harris (SAS), expected back Oct 27, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Rockets lead 5-4, with the Rockets outscoring the Spurs by an average of 0.2 points per game. The last meeting was HOU 114, SAS 110.