Game preview · Tue 5:30 PM MT

Phoenix Suns at New York Knicks: preview and Win Meter

Phoenix Suns → New York Knicks →

Phoenix Suns at New York Knicks on Tuesday, January 26 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Knicks about a 85% chance, and the Suns would need an unusual night to change that.

Why the gap is wide

The Win Meter reads the Knicks 85%, with a projected score of Phoenix Suns 110, New York Knicks 120. The rating gap is 199 points in favor of the Knicks, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Knicks on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 7 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The Suns are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -13.2. The Knicks are 0-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.8.

The Suns were beaten 124-83 on the road by POR not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Mark Williams (PHX), expected back Feb 3, 2027 and Oso Ighodaro (PHX), expected back Oct 26, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Jose Alvarado (NYK). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Knicks outscoring the Suns by an average of 4.5 points per game. The last meeting was PHX 106, NYK 99.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Suns1-4, -13.2 avg margin
Knicks2-3, -1.8 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 2 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Knicks.

Recent meetings

  • Jan 17: PHX 106, NYK 99
  • Jan 9: NYK 107, PHX 112
  • Apr 6: PHX 98, NYK 112
  • Nov 20: NYK 138, PHX 122

Injury report

Phoenix Suns
  • Mark Williams Out · back Feb 3
  • Oso Ighodaro Out · back Oct 26
New York Knicks
  • Jose Alvarado Questionable · back Oct 25

Win Meter

15%
85%
SunsKnicks

Projected score: Suns 110, Knicks 120

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

15%
85%
SunsKnicks

Matchup at a glance

PHXNYK
Record1-10-2
Last 5LLLLWLWWLL
Points per game107101.5
Allowed per game123106.5
Days of rest––
Rating15101709

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